In this piece, JOHN AMEH takes a look at the recent defections within the House of Representatives as the 7th Assembly gradually winds up
For the second time in about a year, the
tables have turned around again at the House of Representatives as the
Peoples Democratic Party has lost its grip as the majority party. This
has offered cheery news to the rival All Progressives Congress, which
has become the major beneficiary of PDP’s misfortunes.
Caught in the web of defections with a
few weeks to the general elections, things are, indeed, not looking good
for the PDP in the House. This is the fallout of the December 8
primaries of the ruling party, which left most PDP members without
return tickets to contest the postponed polls. Many of them simply opted
for the APC, giving the opposition party another opportunity to
celebrate.
Suddenly, the main opposition party has
jumped from around 152 members prior to the December primaries to 179,
pushing the PDP down to 162 members. The balance of 19 members is
distributed among the Social Democratic Party (10); Labour Party (3);
All Progressive Grand Alliance (3); Peoples Democratic Movement (2); and
Accord Party (1), making a total of 360 members.
On Wednesday, January 14 alone, 8 PDP
members left the party, all alluding to alleged “manipulation and
dissatisfaction” with the conduct of the primaries of the party. Four of
the eight joined the APC while the other four pitched their tents with
APGA, SDP and the PDM.
But this was an exodus foretold. The
urge to leave the PDP has always been there for many of the members, who
felt that the party has not treated them fairly, especially during the
primaries.
The lawmakers had bargained for what
they called “automatic tickets” but most of them lost out to intrigues
orchestrated by the leadership of the party and some state governors.
Matters got worse in the weeks after the October 28 defection of the
Speaker of the House, Mr. Aminu Tambuwal, then a PDP member, to the APC,
to contest the governorship seat in his home state of Sokoto.
Tambuwal’s defection was not on account of denial of automatic ticket.
He merely actualised his plan of returning to his roots as an opposition
politician.
However, the Speaker’s defection
reawakened the desire of many PDP lawmakers to pitch tent with other
parties and explore other opportunities. Some of them did not defect
before the primaries because they hoped that the party would reconsider
its stance.
But, as it turned out after the
primaries, most of the serving lawmakers crashed out in a number
estimated to be over 150 across political parties. The hardest hit of
course, was the PDP. With the primaries decided, the enraged PDP members
were left with no choice than to jump ship. Surprisingly, some notable
pro-President Goodluck Jonathan elements in the House lost out at the
primaries and they still cannot understand why. One of them, Mr. Bitrus
Kaze, admitted that he was so frustrated that he chose to opt out of the
primaries.
Kaze, a vocal party man and supporter of
Jonathan in the House, is from Plateau State. He will not be at the
House in the next assembly as he was edged out of the primaries.
Kaze confirmed that PDP legislators were
demoralised because the party, governors and the Presidency reportedly
did not “reciprocate” the sacrifice they made for the PDP over time.
He said, “Let me tell you the truth;
members are demoralised. Many members are not happy; there is nothing to
reciprocate their gesture and support for the party over time. The
congresses leading to the primaries were flawed; there were so many
complaints in nearly every state. As a result, some members did not even
contest. It was that bad.”
It will be recalled that in January
2014, Kaze and other vocal PDP lawmakers coordinated a group in the
House, National Unity Group, to confront the APC lawmakers over the
latter’s threat to stall (filibuster) the passage of the 2014 budget.
The NUG, a coalition of members across
party lines, had the PDP, the Accord Party, Labour Party and the All
Progressive Grand Alliance lawmakers in its fold. The group helped to
neutralise the threat of the APC members.
An anonymous and angry PDP member said,
“Morale is very low and for many of us PDP members, we are not happy. A
lot of things went the wrong way due to the manipulation of all the
congresses where the party, using the governors, schemed many members
out.”
Another disgruntled member recalled that
when the APC used its members in the House to “orchestrate all sorts of
shenanigans” against the PDP-led Federal Government, PDP lawmakers in
the House did everything within their powers to defend the government.
“However, there has been no favour done
to us; we lost out. Some members were not even allowed to contest the
primaries because they were told pointedly not to waste their time,”
another lawmaker stated.
Questions have been asked as to what use
the latest defections will be, since it will not guarantee the ex-PDP
members return tickets in the APC or other parties. The primaries have
since ended and the submission of the names of candidates to INEC has
closed. INEC has long published the final list of candidates. The
defectors foresee victory for the APC ahead and are looking up to
chances of being safer to be with the a party they consider to be a
likely winner in the long run.
But, more importantly, the defectors are
a way of paying back the PDP for the pain the party supposedly caused
them. It is expected that their supporters back home will vote against
the PDP, in line with their decision to dump the party.
What an opportunity this scenario has
provided for the APC, being the main beneficiary, to overthrow the PDP
once again as the majority party in the House. In December 2013,
precisely on the 18th, a group of 37 PDP members defected to the APC on
the floor of the House, taking the caucus leadership unawares. As the
majority party at the time (it has been in the majority since 1999
anyway), the PDP had 208 members. The loss of 37 members reduced its
numerical strength to 171 members.
On other hand, the APC, which prior to
the defection of the 37, had 138 members, suddenly jumped to 175
members! It toppled the PDP but had hardly settled down to reorganise
the positions in the House when litigations halted further actions on
any matters associated with defections.
In the months that followed, the APC
lost some members to the PDP again, and fell back to its position as the
leading minority party. But, the tables have turned again in favour of
the APC after the primaries. With 179 members to PDP’s 162 on current
standing, there is no confusion over which party is in the majority.
One surprise beneficiary is the SDP, a
party that had no member in the House before, but now rose steadily from
Ground Zero to become the third largest party in the House. The party
controls 10 members from a combination of defectors from the APC and the
PDP. Same applies to the PDM, which now has one member, a move away
from being without a member before.
The House adjourned on Wednesday,
January 14, for the postponed February 14 and 28 polls. What to expect
ahead? Much depends on the outcome of the polls which have now been
postponed to March 28 and April 11. If the APC wins the presidential
election and picks many state governorship seats and National Assembly
seats, the defection gate from PDP to APC will be further thrown open.
This will certainly lead to calls for the restructuring of the
leadership positions in the House, particularly positions like Majority
Leader, Chief Whip, Minority Leader and so on. Even if the APC does not
win widely at the polls, on current ranking, there will still be calls
for restructuring in the House because of its 179 majority leadership.
However, if the PDP retains the
presidency and posts an impressive outing at the polls, it is unlikely
that more PDP members will want to leave the party. This is because the
reason for the growing number of defections is self-centered in the
first place. It is neither love for the APC as a party, love for
country, love for the voters, nor a desire to serve the people based on
principles.
It is the same for all the members,
whether they are in the PDP, APC or SDP. There are lawmakers, who have
changed parties three times in the weeks to the primaries and after the
primaries.
The PDP caucus in the House appears
unruffled by its waning numerical strength. In an interview with our
correspondent, the Deputy House Majority Leader, Mr. Leo Ogor, described
the defections as “inconsequential.”
The lawmaker from Delta State merely
reminded the reporter that the issue of defections in the House was
still before the courts.
Ogor said, “This issue is
inconsequential because the PDP is clearly in control. The courts have
said the status quo should remain.”
seems the fate of the PDP as the
majority party in the House hangs in the balance. Will there be more
defections in the weeks ahead? Is the House inching towards having the
APC, the hitherto Minority party, as the majority party in the remaining
months of the 7th Assembly and the next assembly? Nigerians can’t wait
for the elections to take place.
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