After
Saturday, November 1, 2014, we shall all know the route the Peoples
Democratic Party, PDP in Imo state is heading towards winning the
elections in the state in the House of Assembly, Federal House, Senate
and Gubernatorial Seats in 2015 elections.
Saturday is the long
awaited day those going to vote in the primaries will emerge. It is the
day delegates that will elect Aspirants that will emerge as candidates
will be selected. That is, if it holds.
But as usual with PDP, even
before the Delegate Congress is conducted the list of Delegates had
emerged. Aspirants and their PDP Ward chairmen, LGA chairmen and other
cohorts have produced lists of those they think will vote for them in
the primaries not based on party hierarchy or democratic principles in
the Wards. And these lists must be forced down the throat of other PDP
members, to swallow hook line and sinker.
In producing these
“Delegates” whose elections were held in private Hotel rooms in Owerri,
fire has been ignited again in Imo PDP as the elections approach. Imo
PDP also looks blind, deaf and dump to ominous problems each time what
needed was wisdom.
From the developments emerging from various Wards
in the State, PDP is approach the 2007 and 2011 Armageddon again that
stretched the party to its elasticity. I am fore seeing a situation
where the party will shoot itself on the foot again, and in the end
begins to ask what happened, even as it is so clear that the Leopard can
never change its colour.
You do not repeat same action and expect to
have different results. Political selfishness has set in again in Imo
PDP, whose result will be an inferno that will consume all.
If the
Big Shots and those running Imo PDP can have a reflection as per what
the party and its members have passed through these three years, the
story emanating from the issue of Delegate election would have been
different. But Imo PDP takes its members for granted, only regarding
those they see as the Leaders of the party, forgetting that democracy is
all about number. In Democracy while the minority have their say, the
majority have their way.
Tomorrow’s “election” of Delegates, which
would be conducted on the open field is nothing but a formality, a sham,
because those who will emerge had already penciled down months ago.
Unfortunately
for Imo PDP, in pursuance of selfish interests by each Aspirant who
controls a given part of Imo state, the party is being decimated beyond
redemption, because there may not be that time to heal wounds, as the
election prober approaches.
Presently, as each Godfather writes his
or her own list for onward movement to Abuja for final approval,
disgruntled members, the real owners of the party, the masses, the
electorate who stand on the sun an rain during election days, who do not
have God fathers, but contributes immensely to the party’s success in
their communities are watching with keen interest.
For instance, how
proper can it be that a strong PDP member, who funds the party in his
Ward, lives up to expectation within the PDP responsibility, merits to
be a Delegate, is left out because one Big man does not like his face?
What encouragement does such people have to continue to spend their
personal funds on the party? What enthusiasm can such people have to
continue to work for the party, only to be humiliated and left out when
it comes the time for him or her to enjoy a little benefit from the
party?
Why does PDP behave like a Crocodile who eats its Babies when
it is hungry, only to begin to frantically look for them after it had
eaten full on them?
Let me say it that morning tells the day. The way
Imo PDP is going shows that the party has not learnt any lessons from
its past mistakes. The party deludes itself all the time that ad-hoc
approaches to issues are the only way to solve problems. The party tried
it in 2007 and failed. It tried it again in 2011 and did not fare
better, yet it lumbers on its misfortunes as if it can go away with a
wave of the hand.
Now let us go to the basics. Does Imo PDP realize
that since Chief Achike Udenwa ruled Imo State for eight years from 1999
to 2007 the party has never won any other Governorship election in Imo
state?
Because of how things are in Imo, many PDP members do not
realize this serious matter. They wallow is fools paradise believing
that all is well.
It is very unfortunate that despite the tough terrain under which PDP trails in Imo, the party is yet to have a self-discovery.
In
2007, Chief Ikedi Ohakim won the Governorship seat of Imo state. Was he
a PDP person when he won that seat? No. Though he was a PDP man and
frustrated out. He joined the Peoples Progressive Alliance PPA under
which platform he won the Governorship in 2007.
Therefore, when you go to the archives of Imo state, the record there is that Ikedi Ohakim was of PPA.
We
are aware how Ikedi Ohakim became the Governor of Imo state, therefore,
I need not bother you about that. But I won’t fail to mention that the
man behaved like a gentle man and returned to PDP with his mandate and
thereby gave Imo PDP members the opportunity to restitute themselves and
enjoy the leverage of a political party in power in Imo state.
In
2011, the demon entered PDP family again and the party threw away the
bath water with the Baby, by working against one of their own and again,
the 2007 debacle repeated itself as PDP lost the Douglas House Owerri.
Like
in 2007, another PDP “Son” frustrate out by the “Father” joined another
train and arrived Douglas House to the detriment of PDP.
Because of
political subterfuge, conspiracy, jealousy and greed, Owelle Rochas
Okorocha under the platform of the All Progressive Grand Alliance APGA
was able to shove PDP aside and till date occupies Douglas House. So,
technically speaking, the PDP has not won the Imo Governorship election
since 2007. True of False?
Very sorry to say it, PDP may lose again
next year. It seems the party is satisfied using other platforms to win
the Governorship seat than the PDP itself.
But the unfortunate thing
now is that while it was the PDP machinery that produced Ohakim under
PPA following some agreements then, it was the same PDP that produced
Okorocha under APGA but by anti party by its members and conspiracy and
therefore no stated agreement with Okorocha.
This is the reason since
Okorocha assumed office he has embarked on destroying the PDP. He
started by poaching some PDP Lawmakers, including the present Speaker Rt
Hon Benji Uwajumogu.
It is only a fool who will delude himself that
Imo PDP fortune’s has not decline since 2011 following the firm grip
Okorocha has on the state, operating without let and control. He has
been able to demystify the PDP if not occasional whimpers from the
party.
Under this scenario, Imo PDP needs not be told that its house
deserves to put in order, except the party, as usual, wants its
candidates in the coming elections to operate on their own devoid of
party support.
What do I mean? In 2011, the PDP literally abandoned
their candidates to use what they have to get what the want. That was
why the party lost the Governorship election including some Senatorial
and Federal House Seats, not to talk of House of Assembly slots. And
that was the first time the PDP was hit so hard in electoral defeats in
the state.
In 2007, despite losing the Governorship seat to PPA, the
PDP garnered every other position from the State Assembly to the Senate.
Therefore, in 2015, how prepared is the PDP to reclaim its lost
grounds? Can the party make hay when its house is on fire?
The
Delegate list will tear the party apart if not handled with wisdom. Can
the PDP be able to manage the troubles that will be generated from the
Delegate Congress Crises, coupled with the fact that the tenure of the
Executives in the state, LGAs and Wards will expire this month?
If
the party is able to manage the situations as they unfold, then there is
the hope that the party will post a good result in the elections. But
should the party continue its usual way of seeing its perceived leaders
as bigger than the party itself, Imo PDP will live to continue to fumble
in the Governorship elections.
The matter is even dicey now because
there is a formidable opposition. Whoever sees Okorocha as a pushover
among the folks, is doing that at a very high risk.
Even if the PDP
is able to push Okorocha out in 2014 it will be a concerted effort, as
he is not only the incumbent, but bent on proving a point.
In other
words, Imo PDP cannot face Okorocha with a limping leg because the
battle will be only for able bodied people. With a crack on the wall,
Imo PDP will have only itself to blame.
Let me state it here that the
grassroots of the party had waited patiently all these years to see how
PDP will fair in 2015 election. They are waiting to see if Imo PDP can
do things in the prober way by giving respect to the Mighty and
encourage the low. Despite Okorocha’s enticing carrots at the
grassroots, Imo PDP members are still patiently waiting giving their
Leaders the last chance in 2015. Anything to the contrary may spell doom
for the party.
Many things have been working in favour of the party,
especially Okorocha’s antagonistic style to governance, which led him
to number his enemies and count his friends.
Had Okorocha been a
liberal Leader who has a open heart like Achike Udenwa and Ikedi Ohakim
to accommodate political opponents, Imo PDP by now would have been
picking the pieces.
This Delegate election is a litmus test that will
make or mar the party. Sure, there are those who have been funding the
party, and therefore seen as the “owners” of Imo PDP. But politics
without the masses is failure.
The earlier these leaders realize that
even though all are not created same, and therefore can never have the
same perspective on issues, the better for these Leaders and PDP. In a
democracy all people can never think alike. That is the reason for
choice which Democracy professes. There must be internal democracy
within Imo PDP. There must be political space for all to thrive to the
success and development of the party Trampling on others will cause
resistance and trouble. Any implosion within the PDP will enhance the
chances of Okorocha and whoever is the APGA candidate.
The earlier
Imo PDP realizes that it has not won Imo Governorship since after Achike
Udenwa the better for her. There may not be enough time to reconcile
aggrieved people, and there is no need waking a sleeping Dog when it
already sleeping. If the thunder strikes a third time in Imo PDP in
2015, the party will have itself to blame as the repair will be costly.
Okorocha
is the sole candidate of the APC and there will not be post-primary
squabbles in the party. In APGA, it is either Chief Emma Iheanacho or
Okey Eze. Just two camps.
In Imo PDP, there are about twenty six
camps or more of various Governorship Aspirants. They party may as usual
say whoever does not want to fall in line should go to hell. It has
done it twice now, and twice it paid dearly for it. If PDP is satisfied
with “surrogate” candidates from other parties we shall see this time.
But
if I were Imo PDP Leaders, they must try and read the pulse of the Imo
masses accurately. A party that lost Governorship seat twice in a state
is in trouble. It has escaped twice after its usual follies. This time
around it may be a costly mistake that may take time to be corrected.
Let Imo PDP not take her teeming supporters for granted in 2015. It is
very dangerous.